Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.190085 0.220513 0.254262 0.294475 0.341103 0.393485 0.456831
2025-06-08 0.141051 0.181254 0.230576 0.295576 0.379068 0.482844 0.621863
2025-06-15 0.116602 0.160746 0.218794 0.300786 0.413809 0.564438 0.781014
2025-06-22 0.096336 0.140627 0.202249 0.294354 0.428844 0.618583 0.907641
2025-06-29 0.082440 0.126450 0.190744 0.291671 0.446588 0.676211 1.044060
2025-07-06 0.072734 0.116614 0.183579 0.293416 0.469722 0.742879 1.200656
2025-07-13 0.067590 0.112849 0.184737 0.307490 0.512779 0.844022 1.422621
2025-07-20 0.062459 0.108263 0.183758 0.317561 0.549990 0.939399 1.646230
2025-07-27 0.057932 0.103997 0.182591 0.326825 0.586440 1.036988 1.884767
2025-08-03 0.052976 0.098283 0.178136 0.329565 0.611403 1.117009 2.101209
2025-08-10 0.047719 0.091328 0.170586 0.325619 0.623446 1.174770 2.283007
2025-08-17 0.042274 0.083331 0.160158 0.314928 0.621328 1.205695 2.416811
2025-08-24 0.039661 0.080549 0.159348 0.322889 0.656660 1.312740 2.715234
2025-08-31 0.036513 0.076335 0.155304 0.324009 0.678649 1.396500 2.977938
2025-09-07 0.034203 0.073524 0.153671 0.329726 0.710497 1.503314 3.301294
2025-09-14 0.030921 0.068262 0.146399 0.322671 0.714432 1.552481 3.506579
2025-09-21 0.028376 0.064277 0.141338 0.319728 0.726797 1.620715 3.762025
2025-09-28 0.026494 0.061536 0.138634 0.321642 0.750105 1.715293 4.088777
2025-10-05 0.025807 0.061430 0.141728 0.337081 0.806104 1.889423 4.622914
2025-10-12 0.024830 0.060524 0.142895 0.348128 0.853050 2.047923 5.139216
2025-10-19 0.023852 0.059500 0.143664 0.358290 0.899021 2.209227 5.682491
2025-10-26 0.022497 0.057391 0.141618 0.361296 0.927661 2.331795 6.143126
2025-11-02 0.020832 0.054311 0.136874 0.356968 0.937238 2.408206 6.493705